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Trees in proximity to power lines can cause significant damage to utility infrastructure during storms, leading to substantial economic and societal costs. This study investigated the effectiveness of non-parametric machine learning algorithms in modeling tree-related outage risks to distribution power lines at a finer spatial scale. We used a vegetation risk model (VRM) comprising 15 predictor variables derived from roadside tree data, landscape information, vegetation management records, and utility infrastructure data. We evaluated the VRM’s performance using decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), k-Nearest Neighbor (k-NN), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and support vector machine (SVM) techniques. The RF algorithm demonstrated the highest performance with an accuracy of 0.753, an AUC-ROC of 0.746, precision of 0.671, and an F1-score of 0.693. The SVM achieved the highest recall value of 0.727. Based on the overall performance, the RF emerged as the best machine learning algorithm, whereas the DT was the least suitable. The DT reported the lowest run times for both hyperparameter optimization (3.93 s) and model evaluation (0.41 s). XGBoost and the SVM exhibited the highest run times for hyperparameter tuning (9438.54 s) and model evaluation (112 s), respectively. The findings of this study are valuable for enhancing the resilience and reliability of the electric grid. 

Climate change pressure on the Arctic permafrost is rising alarmingly, creating a decisive need to produce Pan-Arctic scale permafrost landform and thaw disturbance information from remote sensing (RS) data. Very high spatial resolution (VHSR) satellite images can be utilized to detect ice-wedge polygons (IWPs) – the most important and widespread landform in the Arctic tundra region - across the Arctic without compromising spatial details. Automated analysis of peta-byte scale VHSR imagery covering millions of square kilometers is a computationally challenging task. Traditional semantic segmentation requires the use of task specific feature extraction with conventional classification techniques. Semantic complexity of VHSR images coupled with landscape heterogeneity makes it difficult to use conventional classification approaches to produce Pan-Arctic scale geospatial products. This leads to adapting deep convolutional neural network (DLCNN) approaches that have excelled in computer vision (CV) applications. Transitioning domains from everyday image understanding to remote sensing image analysis is challenging. This study aims to systematically investigate two main obstacles confronted when adapting DLCNNs in large-scale RS image analysis tasks; 1) the limited availability labeled data sets and 2) the prohibitive nature of hyperparameter tunning when designing DLCNNs that can capture the rich characteristics embedded in remotely-sensed images. With a case study on the production of the first pan-Arctic ice-wedge polygon map using thousands of VHSR images, we demonstrate the use of transfer learning and the impact of hyperparameter tuning with a 16% improvement of the Mean Average Precision (mAP50). 

Risk assessment of infrastructure exposed to ice-rich permafrost hazards is essential for climate change adaptation in the Arctic. As this process requires up-to-date, comprehensive, high-resolution maps of human-built infrastructure, gaps in such geospatial information and knowledge of the applications required to produce it must be addressed. Therefore, this study highlights the ongoing development of a deep learning approach to efficiently map the Arctic built environment by detecting nine different types of structures (detached houses, row houses, multi-story blocks, non-residential buildings, roads, runways, gravel pads, pipelines, and storage tanks) from recently-acquired Maxar commercial satellite imagery (<1 m resolution). We conducted a multi-objective comparison, focusing on generalization performance and computational cost, of nine different semantic segmentation architectures. K-fold cross validation was used to estimate the average F1-score of each architecture and the Friedman Aligned Ranks test with the Bergmann-Hommel posthoc procedure was applied to test for significant differences in generalization performance. ResNet-50-UNet++ performs significantly better than five out of the other eight candidate architectures; no significant difference was found in the pairwise comparisons of ResNet-50-UNet++ to ResNet-50-MANet, ResNet-101-MANet, and ResNet-101-UNet++. We then conducted a high-performance computing scaling experiment to compare the number of service units and runtime required for model inferencing on a hypothetical pan- Arctic scale dataset. We found that the ResNet-50-UNet++ model could save up to ~ 54% on service unit expenditure, or ~ 18% on runtime, when considering operational deployment of our mapping approach. Our results suggest that ResNet-50-UNet++ could be the most suitable architecture (out of the nine that were examined) for deep learning-enabled Arctic infrastructure mapping efforts. Overall, our findings regarding the differences between the examined CNN architectures and our methodological framework for multi-objective architecture comparison can provide a foundation that may propel future pan-Arctic GeoAI mapping efforts of infrastructure. 

Data are available for download at http://arcticdata.io/data/10.18739/A2KW57K57 Permafrost can be indirectly detected via remote sensing techniques through the presence of ice-wedge polygons, which are a ubiquitous ground surface feature in tundra regions. Ice-wedge polygons form through repeated annual cracking of the ground during cold winter days. In spring, the cracks fill in with snowmelt water, creating ice wedges, which are connected across the landscape in an underground network and that can grow to several meters depth and width. The growing ice wedges push the soil upwards, forming ridges that bound low-centered ice-wedge polygons. If the top of the ice wedge melts, the ground subsides and the ridges become troughs and the ice-wedge polygons become high-centered. Here, a Convolutional Neural Network is used to map the boundaries of individual ice-wedge polygons based on high-resolution commercial satellite imagery obtained from the Polar Geospatial Center. This satellite imagery used for the detection of ice-wedge polygons represent years between 2001 and 2021, so this dataset represents ice-wedge polygons mapped from different years. This dataset does not include a time series (i.e. same area mapped more than once). The shapefiles are masked, reprojected, and processed into GeoPackages with calculated attributes for each ice-wedge polygon such as circumference and width. The GeoPackages are then rasterized with new calculated attributes for ice-wedge polygon coverage such a coverage density. This release represents the region classified as “high ice” by Brown et al. 1997. The dataset is available to explore on the Permafrost Discovery Gateway (PDG), an online platform that aims to make big geospatial permafrost data accessible to enable knowledge-generation by researchers and the public. The PDG project creates various pan-Arctic data products down to the sub-meter and monthly resolution. Access the PDG Imagery Viewer here: https://arcticdata.io/catalog/portals/permafrost Data limitations in use: This data is part of an initial release of the pan-Arctic data product for ice-wedge polygons, and it is expected that there are constraints on its accuracy and completeness. Users are encouraged to provide feedback regarding how they use this data and issues they encounter during post-processing. Please reach out to the dataset contact or a member of the PDG team via support@arcticdata.io.